Monday, October 22, 2012

New Hampshire: UNH/WMUR poll shows Big Obama lead and Big Democratic sample

President Obama addresses a Manchester, New Hampshire crowd with home-state Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Gov. John Lynch (D). Photo found here.
University of New Hampshire / WMUR poll, taken October 17-21st, 2012 of 773 likely New Hampshire voters. MoE: 3.5%.

Obama - 51%  (+1 from last poll)
Romney - 42%   (-2 from last poll)

Partisan identification of likely voters:
Democrat - 46.1%
Republican - 38.9%
Independent - 15.0%

Among Democrats:
Obama - 94%
Romney - 2%

Among Republicans:
Obama - 4%
Romney - 91%

Among Independents:
Obama - 39%
Romney - 37%

UNH / WMUR poll weighted to 2008 New Hampshire exit poll party ID:

Party ID        Obama                    Romney

29D               27.26   (94%)          0.58     (2%)
27R               1.08     (4%)            24.57   (91%)
45I                17.55   (39%)          16.65   (37%)
                      45.89%                     41.8% 

UNH/ WMUR poll weighted to 2004 New Hampshire exit poll party ID: 

Party ID        Obama                    Romney

25D               23.5   (94%)          0.5     (2%)
32R               1.28     (4%)            29.12   (91%)
44I                17.16   (39%)          16.28   (37%)
                      41.94%                     45.9%           

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