Thursday, November 29, 2012

2013 VA. Gov: With Warner (D) & Bolling (R) out, looks like McAuliffe (D) vs. Cuccinelli (R)

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Quinnipiac released a 2013 Virginia Governor's poll on November 14th, showing tight races between the presumed Democratic nomi...
Wednesday, November 28, 2012

UPDATE: Christie vs. Booker, New Jersey Governor's race 2013

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  Yesterday I proposed that Cory Booker may not want to give up yet on the NJ Governorship in 2013, considering Christie's inflated ...
Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Why Cory Booker may want to give the 2013 NJ Governor's race another glance

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As survey after survey pours out of New Jersey confirming Chris Christie (R) as one of the most popular Governors in America, the li...
Monday, November 26, 2012

2012 Youth Vote: Anomaly or permanent Democratic voting bloc?

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P In 2008, election watchers were surprised when voters under age 30 turned out in record breaking numbers to support Barack Obama's...

2016 Democratic primary: Absent Hillary, no clear front-runner in New Hampshire

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With the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic primary about 40 months away, Public Policy Polling is out with a survey revealing some...
Sunday, November 25, 2012

ELECTION 2012: State-by-state changes in party I.D.

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  While national partisan identification may have shifted 1 point from the 2008 election to the 2012 election, that spread wasn't co...
Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Rick Santorum's rough road to the 2016 nomination

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A new article from the Christian Post reports that an anonymous evangelical leader close to the Santorum team has confided that the 201...
Tuesday, November 20, 2012

The likely make-up of the 2016 Iowa Caucus electorate could determine who runs

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The Republican field in 2016 looks wide-open for the moment, according to Public Policy Polling (D). In newly released polls of Iowa , New H...

How Exit Polls changed as election night wore on

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One interesting feature of the 2012 general election is the fact that historically unreliable EARLY exit poll data actually proved to b...
Monday, November 12, 2012

2016 Not Looking Any Better for Republicans

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Days before the polls closed on November 6, 2012, the Obama team was predicting publicly that the electorate would be less white than i...

Further evidence that something has to do be done about the GOP / non-white voter divide

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Mitt Romney won a larger percentage of the white vote than George W. Bush in 2004, but that wasn't enough to overcome massive deficit...
Wednesday, November 7, 2012

A look at 2012 Demographics

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Myself and others speculated that if the GOP won white voters by about 20 points or more, that would offset any gains for Democrats from whi...